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After you create an account, you'll be able to save your custom data and access that data from any account.

You'll also be able to subscribe to access the full Rx-Bayes clinical data set for $1.

Current Data Access:

Free Data Only

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Teaching Links

Learn about Bayes' Theorem
Explanation of Bayes' Theorem

Medical Walkthrough & Example

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Questions? Comments? Ideas for Improvement?

Contact Us at: rxbayes@gmail.com

Citation

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Multi Cancer

Pretest

Prevalence

Prevalence in Validation Population
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

Galleri

Sensitivity: 51.5%
Specificity: 99.5%

Citation

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Appendicitis

Pretest

Alvarado Score

RLQ Tenderness
Elevated Temp > 99.1F (37.3C)
Rebound Tenderness
Hx Migration of Pain to RLQ
Hx Anorexia
Nausea/Vomiting
WBC > 10k
Left Shift
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 4 %

Test(s)

Appy CT AbdPelvis

Sensitivity: 94%
Specificity: 95%

Ultrasound for Appendicitis

Sensitivity: 86.7%
Specificity: 90%

Citation

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Strep Throat

Pretest

McIsaac

Age Range
Exudate or Swelling on Tonsils
Fever > 100.4 deg F (38C)
Anterior Cervical Lymph Node Swelling/Tenderness
Cough
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 1.5 %

Test(s)

Rapid Strep Antigen

Sensitivity: 84%
Specificity: 97%

Citation

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Influenza

Pretest

Prevalence in Local Community

Prevalence in Local Community
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

Rapid Flu Antigen Swab - Nasal

Sensitivity: 52%
Specificity: 98%

Digital Immunoassay

Sensitivity: 78.5%
Specificity: 98%

Molecular assay (rapid PCR)

Sensitivity: 93%
Specificity: 98%

Citation

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COVID-19

Pretest

Prevalence in Sample

Prevalence in Sample
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

Symptom

Sensitivity: 70%
Specificity: 60%

RT-PCR: Perfect

Sensitivity: 99.99999%
Specificity: 99.99999%

RT-PCR: Best Case

Sensitivity: 93%
Specificity: 98%

Antigen (Quidel) Published

Sensitivity: 87.5%
Specificity: 99.9%

RT-PCR: Probably

Sensitivity: 70%
Specificity: 95%

Antigen (Probably)

Sensitivity: 67.7%
Specificity: 95%

Antibodies (Best Case)

Sensitivity: 96.9%
Specificity: 99.5%

Citation

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Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Pretest

Prevalence in Clinical Decision Unit

Prevalence if ER Physician Concerned
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

CT Non-Contrast

Sensitivity: 99%
Specificity: 99.6%

LP 0 - 500 RBC

Sensitivity: 99.999%
Specificity: 87.5%

LP Tube 4 500 - 1000 RBC

Sensitivity: 90.9%
Specificity: 94.1%

LP Tube 4 1000 - 5000 RBC

Sensitivity: 81.8%
Specificity: 87.5%

LP Tube 4 5000 - 10,000 RBC

Sensitivity: 72.7%
Specificity: 99.999%

LP Tube 4 >70% Decrease vs Tube 1

Sensitivity: 99.9999%
Specificity: 88%

Citation

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Breathalyzer Accuracy

Pretest

Estimate

Your Point of View
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

Police-grade Breathalyzer

Sensitivity: 97%
Specificity: 93%

Personal Breathalyzer - Brand 1

Sensitivity: 89.5%
Specificity: 64.1%

Personal Breathalyzer - Brand 2

Sensitivity: 94%
Specificity: 50.6%

Personal Breathalyzer - Brand 3

Sensitivity: 26%
Specificity: 97.5%

Citation

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Jewel Merchant

Pretest

Probability of Real Jewel before Testing

If chosen at random, how likely is it to be a real diamond?
Use Previous Test's Results
Result

Total: 0

Pretest Probability: 0 %

Test(s)

Low Quality Detector

Sensitivity: 70%
Specificity: 90%

Diamond Detector

Sensitivity: 99%
Specificity: 99%

Perfect Detector

Sensitivity: 99.9999%
Specificity: 99.9999%

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Test Information

Test Name

Sensitivity

Sensitivity Range

Specificity

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